Self-Publishing Apocalypse? The Upcoming Bubble


SelfPublishing Bubble

By Marano Marco via Flickr

A few months ago, an article was published in the Guardian about an upcoming self-publishing bubble.  In it, the author makes several good points one being, insiders (the indie elite) fleeing the market and seeking traditional publication.  Another, was the proliferation of established brands getting involved in the self-publishing craze, remember Penguin and their launch of Book Country?  Or more recently, Simon & Shuster’s acquisition of Author Solutions this past November?

As he went on, it was apparent that we are in a bubble, and so I’ve been rethinking my next move.  No matter what, market bubbles are never pretty, we’ll all be affected in some way but how much is completely up to us.

Hedge Your Bets

The writing is on the wall, even self-publishing gurus these days are using words like “hybrid publishing” when before it was: “indie or die.”

As annoying as the gurus are, they’re right, the key to surviving this bubble will be diversification.  Since our books are our number one asset it would be wise to publish across multiple platforms.  That includes; ebooks, audio books, novellas, short stories and even articles.  We spend so much time writing, editing and rewriting a given project, that we owe it to ourselves to keep our minds open to ALL publishing opportunities.

Build a Strong Platform

Self-publishing is a hustle and those who are aggressively putting their work out there in the world, will survive the upcoming bubble.  That means those blogging, guest posting, and those proactively seeking interviews, and reviews won’t be harmed as much as the author who’s waiting to be discovered.

Education

Remember writing is a business and if you don’t know what’s going on in the industry, you’re at a serious disadvantage.  Let’s put it this way, if you have no idea what DRM means, then you got some studying to do.  A good idea is to look at the self-publishing superstars and learn what they did and how.

Investing 

Authors who aren’t afraid to spend money on advertisements, and coaching will be better off than those who try to wing it.  Though I don’t recommend spending your life savings, it would be wise to not only make your book as professional as possible, but to find the right people to market to which sometimes requires money.

Authors Will Have to Stop Giving it Away

As more and more authors offer up their ebooks on Amazon’s KDP altar, free books, will eventually get old.  Meaning there will be little value placed on our work.

This was a huge issue when I freelanced during the economic downturn.  It was called “the race to the bottom” and it pissed off a lot of veteran freelance writers who saw their rates go further and further down.  Many content mills popped up, like Demand Studios and Examiner.com who offered visibility or ad revenue to their writers, but little, if any, cash.  Visibility by the way, is the same strategy being used by Amazon’s KDP program!  Feeling queasy yet?

That bubble burst, only after Google cracked down on content mills and black hat SEO.  And in textbook fashion, insiders like Arianna Huffington, of the Huffington Post– bailed selling her company to AOL for $315 million dollars.  This created a backlash from those writers who worked for very little, or in most cases, free for the site.

This was just one bubble involving writers, but there were others involving the movie and music industries as well.  I believe we indie authors would be wise in learning from the mistakes of our fellow artists rather than repeating history and finding ourselves with the short end of the stick.

So what are your thoughts?  Are you building your bunker yet?

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About Rachel Rueben

Author of the YA novel Hag and Eternal Bond series.

Posted on February 24, 2013, in Business, Publishing, Writing Business and tagged , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 3 Comments.

  1. Focus on the core product.

    The “e-book bubble” is hardly unique in entertainment history. There was a”drive-in bubble” in the 1950′s, a “paperback bubble” in the 1960′s, a “direct to video bubble” in the 1980′s, an “mp3 download bubble” in the 1990′s.

    What happens is that a particular industry has a lock on the technology of distribution and when the technology changes the floodgates open and suddenly anyone with a few bucks and some notes scribbled on a napkin can enter the marketplace.

    At first the novelty of the means of distribution carries the early adopters straight to the top. American International made a fortune by getting cheaply made films into drive-ins, Gold Medal made a fortune by getting cheaply made mysteries into newstands. The musicians who mastered the technology to get their albums onto iPods when everyone else was struggling to get into the record stores made a fortune.

    Sooner or later, however, you have to give your customers some steak to go with all that sizzle. When I first got my Kindle I was a downloading fool–I have easily three hundred novels in my Amazon Cloud.

    I’m not going to read most of them. And I don’t download near as many as I used to. The novelty of being able to have a brand new book in my (virtual) hands with one click has worn off. Now I ask myself, “Is this a book I really want to read?”

    The artists who survive the bursting of the bubble are the ones who have art that stands on its own, once the buzz dies down. Many excellent mystery and science fiction authors came out of the 25 cent paperback original days–many more are now lost to obscurity. There are now famous filmmakers who started out shooting drive-in pictures in a week. Some bands have managed to turn a viral YouTube video into a thriving career.

    What counts is the quality of the work. Promotion and marketing a novelty gimmicks will only carry an artists so far. At the end of the day what matters to a reader isn’t whether a writer is “self-published” or “legacy-published” or some form of “hybrid-published”, what matters to the reader is the quality of the writing.

    Worrying about how to get my work to market is putting the cart before the horse. First, I have to worry about crafting the best product possible. If I can create a demand for my stories, as stories, then people will figure out how to buy them.

    Let the lawyers and the accountants worry about the business models. I’m busy writing.

  2. You’re absolutely right, but when we finish our masterpieces will we be on the tale end of a downturn or upswing?

    It made me curious when Amanda Hocking and Barry Eisler sought other forms of publication after so much success with indie publishing. If they were really overwhelmed with the marketing and design aspects why didn’t they farm that stuff out to freelancers? They had the millions. I think they see what’s up ahead and maybe were advised not to take a financial risk on their product and find an “investor” (traditional publisher) to absorb those costs.

    It’s also possible that I’m just reading too much into this LOL!

  3. An insightful, interesting and well shared post! Thanks for sharing it Rachel!

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